Tory by-election stagnation last year revisited in light of the May 2010 Wallasey election results

17th May 2010. 

We re-publish this posting from last November as an interesting indication of how badly Wallasey’s Tory Party strategists misread the popular mood.  It is worth reading again as our prediction that misleading Tory propaganda, and throwing huge amounts of money into glossy publications would do them no good.  The writing was indeed on the wall – yet even in the most (theoretically) favourable conditions, when Tories in other parts of the country did not do nearly as badly, here in Wallasey the population were simply not taken in.    And they orchestrated the loss of their most prized Council seat – Liscard –  whilst Labour also regained New Brighton and held other seats the Tories imagined were in the bag.  As for their constant boast that they had become really popular in Seacombe, with a Labour defector peddling their propaganda leaflet for them, they had the rudest awakening of all with Labour not only trouncing their hopes but taking almost 63% of the vote. 

Wallasey Tory strategy – an astronomically costly glossy popaganda war over nearly two years. 
Wallasey Labour strategy - publishing the plain truth and being directly involved with the people we represent, year in and year out, not just ‘apparating’ for elections. 
Below we re-publish our analysis of six months ago, predicting where the Wallasey Tories’ antics would take them. 
But let’s not ConDem(n) them too harshly – we have come to the view that Wallasey Tory strategists are among Labour’s greatest assets.  Long may they languish in post. 
   

 27th November 2009 - revisited

In Thursday’s by-election the Tories retained Moreton & Saughall Massie.  

They will put on a brave face and ‘spin’ it as a ‘great victory’.  But in one of their ‘safest’ seats, ever since the ward’s creation in 2004, it must be a bitter disappointment.  Even after a year of negative campaigning, in the most virulent propaganda campaign they have ever conducted, their percentage of the vote stagnated (in fact dropping slightly).  Labour’s percentage rose healthily. 

Andrew mugshot 320 x 240We are told the Tories are spinning a tale that they won ‘This former Labour Ward’.    Moreton and Saughall Massie was never a Labour Ward.  It has been among Wirral’s ’safest’ Tory strongholds since its creation.  Perhaps the ‘spin’ is a smoke screen to cover up immense frustration at their poor showing.  

In the wake of a relentless, and we assume enormously expensive,  propaganda assault during the past year (vicariously aided by strange bedfellows from other camps) on a reduced poll the Tories dropped 681 votes and were also down in their percentage of votes.   Labour’s Andrew Hollingworth, pictured left, comfortably increased the Labour percentage share of the votes cast – even with an ’Independent’ dividing the popular anti Tory vote.  In one of Wirral’s strongest Tory Wards, that is heartening indeed for Labour.   Replicated across Wirral it would produce an excellent outcome in the coming Parliamentary and Council elections.  

These are the results:

Tory vote 2008 2,936 (70.9%)      
Tory vote 2009 2,255 (70.09%) Down 681 votes and slight % drop at 70.9%    
Labour vote 2008       674     (16.3%)      
Labour vote 2009 615     (19.11%) Down 59 votes but 2.81%  increase at 19.11%    
Liberal vote 2008 237     (5.7%)      
Liberal vote 2009 134     (4.16%) Down 103 votes    
Green vote 2008 137     (3.31%)      
Green vote 2009 92       (2.85%) Down 45 votes    
The UK Independence Party fielded a candidate in 2008, taking 145 votes (3.51%), but did not stand in this by-election.  Alex McFadden, Independent 2009, took 121 votes (3.76%) 
Despite the most virulent Tory campaign ever mounted in Wirral, Labour still increased its percentage of votes cast.  So although the Tories (unsurprisingly) retained one of their safest Wirral seats, on a reduced vote, the writing is on the wall for them: 
 Tories, despite your negative campaigning in glossy, costly, publications; despite your distortions; despite insulting the intelligence of the public; you stagnate.    
This dismal organisational and tactical ’public relations’ flop presages your reward for treating the Wirral electorate as gullible voting fodder to be manipulated with ever more misleading propaganda:  a bleaker future than you thought.   

 

Share and Enjoy:
  • Print
  • Digg
  • Sphinn
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Mixx
  • Wikio

Leave a Reply

Disclaimer
Seacombe Labour Party is not responsible for the content of external websites to which it may be linked. This is because:
  • 1. Seacombe Labour Party does not produce them or maintain/update them.
  • 2. Seacombe Labour Party cannot change them.
  • 3. They can be changed without Seacombe Labour Party's knowledge or agreement.
The inclusion of a link to an external website from Seacombe Labour party should not be understood to be an endorsement of that website or the site's owners, products or services.